Skip to main content

Osama Bin Laden- Death has no strategic implications

Pakistan is in a state of war and so is the Untied States of America. Pakistan has a military strategy and so does the US. Operation Neptune Spear, authorized by President Barack Obama and executed by the Naval Special Warfare Development Group, was a momentous episode in that war.
America’s war strategy, before Operation Neptune’s Spear, was all about an honourable exit from war-torn Afghanistan. America’s war strategy, post-Osama, is still all about an honourable exit from war-torn Afghanistan. Pakistan’s war strategy, before Operation Neptune’s Star, was all about securing Rawalpindi’s influence over Kabul. Pakistan’s war strategy, post-Osama, is still all about securing Rawalpindi’s influence over Kabul.
Dazzling success of Operation Neptune’s Spear has now given Obama an additional stick to beat Pak Army succumb to America’s strategic objective of an honourable exit. America wants Pak Army to hurt the Haqqani Network to an extent that America could then negotiate with the Haqqani Network from a position of strength. America also wants Pak Army to afflict enough pain on to the Lashkar-e-Taiba so that America could look towards securing an honourable exit.
In essence, there’s a dangerous tug-of-war with Admiral Michael Mullen’s war strategy on the one side and General Ashfaq Kayani’s war strategy at the other end. Admiral Mullen, because of Osama’s location of death, has now expanded his arsenal manifold. General Kayani, again because of Osama’s location of death, will now be on his back foot.
The war is not only being fought in the physical battlefield but continues in at least three other fields — political, psychological and ideological. In the political battlefield, Shah Mehmood Qureshi, towing the military line with intent to weaken the political government, has demanded President Asif Ali Zardari’s resignation. 
The facts on the ground are that Osama’s elimination will have little or no impact on Pakistan’s underlying political calculus. Sooner rather than later, Pakistan’s politics will move back to pre-May 2 mode whereby the army will continue to move its pawns to keep the civil government on its toes while the PPP will continue to play its own game of survival through political alliances.
Operation Neptune’s Spear has been the biggest psychological defeat for Pakistan’s ISI. America is now demanding the names of ISI’s top operatives who may have known Osama’s location. 
The game is on for a sacrificial lamb. In 1993, Lieutenant General Javed Nasir, who had managed to unite all the warring Afghan factions, was later removed from the ISI under American pressure (because of his “alleged non-cooperation in the US efforts to re-purchase the unused Stinger missiles from Afghan mujahideen”). Right after 9/11, America sought-and got-Lieutenant General Mehmood Ahmed’s removal from the ISI (for being “too close to the Taliban”). At the end of the day, the ‘wolf shall dwell with the lamb, and the leopard shall lie down with the kid’.

Popular posts from this blog

A historic moment in the Arab world

لحظة تاريخية في العالم العربي
As a democratic revolution led by tech-empowered young people sweeps the Arab world, Wadah Khanfar, Al Jazeera's director-general, shares a profoundly optimistic view of what's happening in Egypt, Tunisia, Libya and beyond. In the first talk posted online from the TED 2011 conference in California, Khanfar describes the powerful moment when people realised they could step out of their homes and ask for change. "كما ثورة ديمقراطية بقيادة الشباب التكنولوجيا ذات صلاحيات تجتاح العالم العربي ، وضاح خنفر ، الجزيرة المدير العام والأسهم وجهة نظر متفائلة بشكل كبير ما يحدث في مصر وتونس وليبيا وخارجها. وفي اول حديث له نشر على الانترنت من مؤتمر تيد 2011 في ولاية كاليفورنيا ، خنفر يصف لحظة قوية عند الناس أدركت أنها لا يمكن الخروج من منازلهم ونطلب من أجل التغيير." This talk was given on March 1, 2011 in Long Beach, California. TED 2011 is taking place between March 1 and Mar…

Our Captured, Wounded Hearts: Arundhati Roy On Balakot, Kashmir And India

With his reckless “pre-emptive” airstrike on Balakot in Pakistan, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has inadvertently undone what previous Indian governments almost miraculously, succeeded in doing for decades. Since 1947 the Indian Government has bristled at any suggestion that the conflict in Kashmir could be resolved by international arbitration, insisting that it is an “internal matter.” By goading Pakistan into a counter-strike, and so making India and Pakistan the only two nuclear powers in history to have bombed each other, Modi has internationalised the Kashmir dispute. He has demonstrated to the world that Kashmir is potentially the most dangerous place on earth, the flash-point for nuclear war. Every person, country, and organisation that worries about the prospect of nuclear war has the right to intervene and do everything in its power to prevent it.  Keep reading  >>>>

India has built around itself an aura of a global power whose time has come. For at least the last t…

Kashmir Jihad - Analysis & Options


Kashmir is an incomplete agenda of partition of India. Since 1947, India and Pakistan have fought three wars on this issue. According to UN resolutions, Kashmiris have to decide their accession to Pakistan or India through impartial plebiscite, which could not take place due to Indian reluctance. Recently, India revoked Article 370 of the Constitution, which granted special autonomous status to Kashmir, it was done to unilaterally integrate occupied Kashmir. This is a violation of the UN resolutions and the Simla bilateral agreement, which demands to maintain status quo until the final settlement. The US and world powers are emphasizing that Kashmir should be resolved bilaterally, though India has refused to hold talks with Pakistan. In the present scenario, while India has turned Kashmir into the largest prison of 9 million people, denying basic human rights and oppressing the Kashmiris' who want freedom from India, Pakistan cannot watch as a silent spec…